We Neet to Plan Ahead
In order to survive the virus, and to survive the election, we need to
plan ahead a little bit. This starts with taking stock of what we
know and what we don’t know.
1 Stuff We Know Already
The virus outbreak is out of control. In some
states (including Arizona) hospitals are at or beyond capacity.
Morgues are at or beyond capacity. Death rates are increasing
exponentially at a rapid rate.
None of this is necessary. We’ve known since
February how to suppress the virus. See reference 1.
We know what needs to be done; we’re just not doing it.
The #toadstool is not
going to fix the problems. He just doesn’t have that gear. He has
neither the inclination nor the ability. Instead, he specializes in
deflecting blame for the problems. He has dishonestly blamed China,
dishonestly blamed the WHO, dishonestly blamed governors, and
dishonestly blamed Fauci. We can expect more of the same, ad
Similarly, the Arizona governor has proven himself incapable of
telling the truth about the problem, much less solving it.
Things cannot continue like this for very
long. The cost in money, suffering, injury, and death is far too
great. It’s intolerable already, and getting worse.
In particular, the election will not come soon
enough. We cannot afford to wait until Nov. 3rd, much less Jan. 20th.
Similarly, a gubernatorial recall election cannot be arranged quickly
enough. This is a matter of life and death on an epic scale, and
there just isn’t enough time.
Pima County has started hiring a few contact tracers. That should have been done in February, but I guess better late than never. Also, they’re not hiring nearly enough. Given the size of the outbreak, thousands are needed, just in this one little county; see reference 2.
Most of the primary elections are over. The very last one is August 11th. This is relevant because R politicans tend to flip right during primary season, then flop toward the center for the general election.
Pima County passed a resolution “requiring”
people to wear masks in public. However, it is unenforced and
2 What’s Likely to Happen Next
It is just a matter of time, a few weeks at most,
before we have millions of people marching in the streets, demanding
justice for the people killed by presidential and gubernatorial
By way of analogy: The wrongful response to the virus outbreak is more
deadly than drunk driving, gun violence, and police brutality combined
... and just as needless.
Here’s something small we can do right now, to
produce a modest but nontrivial benefit:
To protect the lives of store clerks as well as shoppers, it is
important for businesses to require everyone in the place to wear
masks. They are not obliged to do this, but they have the option. We
should insist that they do. This goes double for “essential”
businesses. We should organize boycotts against businesses that don’t
require masks. Maybe even picket lines.
knows that if he loses on Nov. 3rd, he gets arrested on Jan. 20th
or shortly thereafter. He’s not very good at planning ahead, but even
he can figure this out. Therefore he will stop at nothing to retain
power. Not even civil war. NOTHING.
It is very unlikely that he can win re-election except by cheating.
We need to defend the electoral process against massive attack.
In particular: On Nov. 3rd I expect him to use
civil unrest (real or imagined) as a pretext to send troops into the
streets, to block access to polling places in Tucson, Miami,
Philadelphia, Detroit, Cleveland, and a few other places — that is,
blue areas in swing states. That’s all it takes to control the outcome
of the election. He won’t cancel the election outright, because that
would be harder to do and less advantageous for him.
This is why he is so fixated on preventing vote-by-mail.
He may start by sending Brownshirts into the
streets to create violent unrest, and then send
government troops to “solve the problem”.
- The Brownshirt sortie against the Michigan statehouse was just a
rehearsal for November. See reference 3.
- Sending the Geheime Staatspolizei to snatch people off the streets of Portand is
another rehearsal for November. See reference 4.
We also have to defend against all the illegal
manipulation (Russian and otherwise) that will go on before
Now that the primaries are over, the #toadstool
will find that his toadies are not quite so reliable. This includes
members of congress, state legislators, local sheriffs, and anybody
else who’s on the November ballot. They will start pushing back
against the most extreme elements of his agenda.
State and local officials (whether or not they are on the ballot) are
not going to sit around and let him deflect the blame onto them. They
will push back, hard.
With any luck, this sort of pushback could create a positive-feedback
loop, weakening him, making him more vulerable to additional
short-term pushback, and making him more certain to lose the election.
The Arizona governor’s political career is over. He’s
term-limited out at the end of 2022, and there’s no way he could win
higher office, or even lower office.
It’s always important to have a specific
“ask”. That is, we need to focus on a goal that is specific,
feasible, and measurable.
3 What Would Putain Do?
We need to analyze things from #Bljadimir #Putain’s point of view. He’s not an idiot. He plans for the long
term. It’s in his interest to keep his poodle in the white house.
- Maybe Putain is advising #spanky to do
a better job suppressing the virus. This would immeasurably increase
his chances of winning re-election. In this scenario, his character
flaws run so deep that he simply cannot do what is necessary, no
matter how sternly he is advised to do so.
- OTOH perhaps Putain is content to let the virus run wild.
- Perhaps he is so sure of being able to steal the election that
public opinion doesn’t matter at all any more.
- At the opposite extreme, perhaps he figures the election is
already beyond the tipping point, already lost no matter how much he
cheats, so he is giving up on the longer-term goal and instead just
inflicting as much damage as he can in the short term.
“Suppressing the Virus is a Package Deal”
Contact Tracing Workforce Estimator
“Anti-Lockdown Protests Originated With Tight-Knit
Group Who Share Bigger Goal: Trump 2020”
“Federal Law Enforcement Use Unmarked Vehicles To Grab
Protesters Off Portland Streets”